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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, Nov 6 | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tuesday, Nov 5 | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday, Nov 7 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday, Nov 8 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday, Nov 9 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday, Nov 10 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Monday, Nov 11 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuesday, Nov 12 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Wednesday, Nov 13 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday, Nov 14 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday, Nov 15 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday, Nov 16 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday, Nov 17 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monday, Nov 18 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuesday, Nov 19 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wednesday, Nov 20 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Later | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710d |  intelmarketmaker | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,016 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 710d |  d1k21 | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,024 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | CMC20 | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d |  MarekyMarek2 fills | Thursday, Nov 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,754 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 710d | d1k21 | Thursday, Nov 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 710d | intelmarketmaker | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$10 +1.0% | 10 |
| 710d | Uhuh | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,729 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | JJMORSON | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 710d |  Whome2 fills | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,239 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 710d |  pirateshere | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,242 | +$11 +0.5% | 10 |
| 710d | longtern | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,323 | +$17 +0.5% | 10 |
| 710d |  Glover | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,496 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 710d | DapperChapper | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,707 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | LeftieFTW | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,118 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 710d | rpo | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,476 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 710d | rpo | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,474 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 710d | HybridSpear | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$370 −36% | — |
| 710d | Trump2032-3653 fills | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $18,820 | +$2,048 +11% | 11 |
| 710d | Cryp | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,638 | +$244 +5.3% | 10 |
| 710d | Whome | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 10 |
| 710d | BigFatO | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,389 | +$715 +16% | 10 |
| 710d | Apollo3000 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$59 +5.1% | 10 |
| 710d | gandalf | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,573 | +$681 +19% | 10 |
| 710d |  Mr-Yolos | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,994 | +$1,301 +16% | 10 |
| 710d | chefd | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,042 +104% | 18 |
| 710d | johnsb | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 710d |  Kickstand7 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | −$346 −19% | — |
| 710d | Kickstand7 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,890 | +$550 +19% | 10 |
| 711d | winnerchickendinner | Thursday, Nov 7 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,669 | −$1,669 −100% | 17 |
| 711d |  Coram_Deo2 fills | Later | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$151 +2.6% | 10 |
| 711d | elPolloLoco | Saturday, Nov 16 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 711d | intelmarketmaker | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$577 +27% | 17 |
| 711d |  willis1111 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$367 +28% | 16 |
| 712d | JJMORSON | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$252 +25% | 13 |
| 712d | barelyknown | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 15 |
| 713d | Cigarettes-645 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$345 −30% | — |
| 714d | youdoit | Friday, Nov 8 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$102 −8.7% | — |
| 714d | LeftieFTW2 fills | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$681 +28% | 11 |
| 714d | AJM96 | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,422 | +$1,529 +28% | 11 |
| 715d | ABC1245 | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$1,470 −137% | — |
| 718d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$923 +37% | 10 |
| 719d | Slow-Trinket | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | −$486 −39% | — |
| 720d |  claystar | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,114 | −$2,114 −100% | 14 |
| 720d | ABC1245 | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,541 +154% | 10 |
| 723d | Rturutyt | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 723d | Wtujyi | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 10 |
| 723d | Wtujyi | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$2,376 −194% | — |
| 723d | Rturutyt | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,376 | −$2,376 −100% | 10 |
| 723d | aasadwad | Tuesday, Nov 5 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | −$556 −25% | — |
| 723d | aasadwad | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$556 +25% | 10 |
| 723d | Gfhfdh | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$2,376 −194% | — |
| 723d | Esdgs | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,376 | −$2,376 −100% | 10 |
| 723d | Esdgs | Wednesday, Nov 6 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$2,310 −194% | — |
| 723d | Gfhfdh | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the exact day the Associated Press will declare the election results.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wednesday, Nov 6 means the market gives it about 100%.