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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 23 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 11 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 12 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 13 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 16 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 17 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 18 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 22 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 26 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No token launch by March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | believerver | March 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,106 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  Nik- | March 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,295 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | onamura | March 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  TTokin | March 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,495 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  Zhangmuzhiholy | March 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | Donkolo2 fills | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,752 | +$38 +0.4% | 2 |
| 208d | Zhangmuzhiholy | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,506 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | sjfuw | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,906 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | March 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,992 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | OraculumNobius2 fills | No token launch by March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,751 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | OraculumNobius | March 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,637 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | lichenglicheng | No token launch by March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,340 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 208d | didiaodeshuaige | March 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,979 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 208d | TTokin | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 208d | didiaodeshuaige | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,743 | +$41 +0.6% | 2 |
| 208d |  nextonetuyo | March 23 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$165 −10% | — |
| 208d | bjjkm3 fills | March 23 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,246 | −$106 −2.0% | — |
| 208d | jetLLLLLLLL6 fills | March 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,868 | +$258 +2.9% | 2 |
| 208d | Nik- | March 23 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | +$51 +1.6% | 2 |
| 208d | tphhh2 fills | March 24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,377 | +$26 +0.8% | 2 |
| 208d | tphhh3 fills | March 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,475 | +$53 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | tphhh | March 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,601 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | hjhiugnghu2 fills | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,726 | +$242 +1.1% | 2 |
| 208d | tphhh | March 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,461 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 208d | hgjftjvgjtyigyh | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 208d | wen8858 | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 |
| 208d | bjjkm | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,138 | +$102 +1.1% | 2 |
| 208d | TTokin | No token launch by March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 208d | fghsrthrhrshrsth | March 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,366 | +$58 +1.3% | 2 |
| 208d | woyaoxiachele2 fills | March 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,997 | +$167 +3.3% | 2 |
| 208d |  criptotemplo | March 23 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$45 +4.3% | 2 |
| 209d | fghsrthrhrshrsth | March 23 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | −$101 −5.3% | — |
| 209d | tphhh4 fills | No token launch by March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,603 | +$54 +1.0% | 2 |
| 210d | mujchina | March 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$31 +2.7% | 2 |
| 210d | akoros28 | March 23 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | −$153 −10% | — |
| 212d | bngchgf | March 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,710 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 213d | Watchful-FloozieNew account | March 18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,402 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 213d | thalaivar | March 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,995 | +$326 +3.3% | 2 |
| 214d |  YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea | March 23 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$49 −4.4% | — |
| 215d | npph666 | March 23 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$76 +3.8% | 2 |
| 216d | Ryan13652 fills | March 15 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,731 | +$58 +2.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  NeverYES | March 15 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $3,461 | −$3,461 −100% | 2 |
| 217d | didiaodeshuaige | March 14 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | Mobilc | March 23 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
| 218d | didiaodeshuaige | March 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,089 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | newer2 fills | March 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,935 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 218d | newer2 fills | March 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,256 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 218d |  abhionpoly | March 21 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 218d | abhionpoly | March 19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 218d | abhionpoly | March 18 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 218d | aleksandrburn | March 23 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$32 +2.3% | 2 |
| 219d | YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea | March 23 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$59 +5.3% | 2 |
| 219d |  mewmew1 | March 13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 219d | didiaodeshuaige | March 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 219d | didiaodeshuaige | March 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Backpack launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 23 means the market gives it about 100%.
