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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | 0x4245…62eb | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,175 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | swisslion | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 47d |  Tttyh | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,180 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 47d | Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,575 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 47d | Tttyh | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,584 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 47d |  lasiweijiasi | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 |
| 47d | magcidwa | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,860 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 47d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,200 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 47d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,212 | +$65 +0.7% | 2 |
| 47d | jinwujinshu | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | −$55 −4.1% | — |
| 47d | Tttyh | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,049 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 47d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,417 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 47d |  olegs | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | +$30 +1.1% | 2 |
| 47d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,450 | +$85 +1.3% | 2 |
| 48d | sdvcxvcv | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | zcxxcc | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,192 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d |  walnascar | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,785 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | fshtsdgdsb | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,168 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | hfgdhgfd | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,480 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$80 +7.5% | 2 |
| 48d | Tttyh4 fills | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 48d | Tttyh5 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,519 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | Tttyh | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,342 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | Tttyh | ↑ 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 48d | Tttyh | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | yaokan | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,319 | +$72 +3.1% | 2 |
| 49d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$217 +17% | 3 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,893 | +$466 +12% | 2 |
| 49d |  ZeinST | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,995 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 49d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$75 +5.3% | 2 |
| 49d | swisslion | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$79 +7.5% | 2 |
| 49d |  justdance3 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $10,676 | +$3,265 +31% | 2 |
| 49d | olegs | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 9527966 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 49d | Tttyh | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,721 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | yaokan2 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,838 | +$162 +2.8% | 2 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,770 | +$311 +6.5% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,585 | +$134 +2.4% | 2 |
| 50d | justdance | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$45 +4.5% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$81 +5.3% | 2 |
| 50d | sdhyky | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$66 −5.3% | — |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,599 | +$728 +28% | 2 |
| 50d | PhongLeXBT | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$80 −7.5% | — |
| 50d | olegs | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,071 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 50d | duneprod1 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,934 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 |
| 50d |  TCBY6688 | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | −$86 −5.9% | — |
| 50d | justdance | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$1,680 +39% | 3 |
| 50d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$814 +37% | 2 |
| 50d | yaokan3 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,393 | +$118 +1.6% | 2 |
| 50d | yaokan | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$37 +3.5% | 2 |
| 50d | justdance | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | +$88 +3.7% | 2 |
| 50d | yaokan2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$55 +1.2% | 2 |
| 50d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,198 | −$292 −7.0% | — |
| 51d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$28 +2.4% | 2 |
| 51d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$238 +16% | 2 |
| 52d | Shady-Curse | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$280 +22% | 2 |
| 52d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,131 | +$359 +5.0% | 2 |
| 53d | emffg | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$269 +20% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,753 | +$1,686 +25% | 2 |
wAliens11,503 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 74,000 means the market gives it about 0%.