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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 102,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 98,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 96,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 86,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292d | mayabuyaoya | ↑ 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,197 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 292d |  FTX2.0 | ↓ 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,797 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 292d |  BlackswanHunter | ↑ 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,681 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 292d |  largeleeks888 | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,391 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d |  shusno1fan | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,002 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 292d | tracer-tong | ↑ 92,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 292d | kai-xin | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,980 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 292d | Niudad2 fills | ↓ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,181 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | Twenty9 | ↓ 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,361 | −$43 −0.6% | — |
| 292d | lnarix | ↓ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,635 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | ah0.1 | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,768 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | hrtedhgfds | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | bean125 | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,413 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | ugfbdgd | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | cdsgxhdh | ↓ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,210 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | Thin-Print | ↓ 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,761 | +$289 +3.3% | 2 |
| 292d | shibmusk | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,559 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | HuatzTTM | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,899 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | Moneyyes | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,407 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d |  BRG942 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,250 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | BOTCENTRAL | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,416 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | Shadowy-Sanction | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 |
| 292d | Thin-Print3 fills | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,281 | +$230 +1.9% | 2 |
| 293d | mayabuyaoya | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$19 +1.6% | 2 |
| 293d | Thin-Print | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,463 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | Thin-Print | ↑ 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,282 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | vonbin | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | vonbin | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | elPolloLoco4 fills | ↓ 86,000 | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $10,617 | +$10,617 +100% | — |
| 293d | asd75654 | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,475 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | sdfas852 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | weasd54612 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,348 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | dgdxfgx5120 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,282 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | rfdgdb65 | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | yhtgj97 | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | gfdgfd45 | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,215 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | edtg35 | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,241 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced139 fills | ↓ 86,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $28,422 | +$20,091 +71% | 3 |
| 294d | unknown0077 | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | −$84 −4.4% | — |
| 294d | b3tm0re | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | prozhila | ↑ 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 294d | hughfytf | ↑ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,195 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 294d | uhgfgsa | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,490 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 294d | FTX2.0 | ↓ 84,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | −$132 −4.1% | — |
| 294d | UJ7H65YE | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,294 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | HE56TY | ↑ 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 294d | ewrfgdsg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | hgbrtghgfc | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,239 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | GHTRGHFDS | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | WEQAFSDF | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | GFDSGRES | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | HRETHGFD | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | XFDGHBFGDR | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | HBTRSHBFG | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | GBSRTDBGV | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | yrtfghd | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,210 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | cxhgdfts | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | htrhfgdcf | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | fgsaefds | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 294d | htrdhfd | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit December 22-28?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.