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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,500 | 0% | −2 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +39 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,500 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | +78 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,500 | 100% | +88 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −13 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | +88 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | +78 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 40,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,500 | 100% | +59 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,500 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,500 | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 47,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 42,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 45,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | +31 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 95,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | Quarrelsome-Cheddar | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,302 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 46d | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,393 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 46d | ↓ 72,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,470 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,589 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 46d | vvyvv | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,779 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 46d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,907 | +$69 +0.4% | 2 |
| 46d | jjjclv6 | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | Dou123 | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$84 +6.0% | 2 |
| 46d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $84,082 | +$86 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | YoungAndFree | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,152 | −$3,152 −100% | 11 |
| 46d | Cowboys04272 fills | ↓ 72,500 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,219 | −$56 −1.7% | — |
| 46d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 46d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,372 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 46d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 46d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | 0B06 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,457 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $7,164 | +$1,602 +22% | 3 | |
| 46d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,066 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 46d | polyproguy | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,855 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 46d | JAMJAMJAM4 | ↓ 62,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,207 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,560 | +$683 +5.4% | 2 |
| 46d | jytfkuyi | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | giuhjhkg | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,085 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | ch10 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,118 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | Rin2x2 fills | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$99 +3.3% | 2 |
| 46d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $26,698 | −$5,143 −19% | — |
| 46d | vigfood404 | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,685 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $13,009 | +$8,178 +63% | 3 |
| 46d | emffg | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 3 |
| 46d | vvyvv | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$333 +11% | 3 |
| 46d | apiwat | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,653 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | Trump20282 fills | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $31,870 | +$347 +1.1% | 2 |
| 46d | Davorios | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,034 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 46d | Davorios | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,540 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 46d | Dou123 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$22 +1.8% | 2 |
| 46d | SplendidAmadeus | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,964 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,421 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 46d | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | Trump2028 | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,284 | +$88 +0.7% | 2 |
| 46d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,469 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,968 | +$118 +1.3% | 2 |
| 46d | HandsomeLi | ↑ 82,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$22 +1.6% | 2 |
| 47d | Tokor | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 47d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 47d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $19,650 | +$8,895 +45% | 3 |
| 47d | Insider3 | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,269 | +$41 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 47d | ↓ 62,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 47d | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,811 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 47d | HandsomeLi2 fills | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$61 +1.6% | 2 |
| 47d | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,316 | −$1,486 −28% | — | |
| 47d | HandsomeLi15 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,796 | +$477 +1.4% | 2 |
| 47d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $12,683 | +$2,037 +16% | 2 |
| 47d | General-Pathogenesis | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$221 +4.5% | 2 |
| 47d | lovedudley | ↓ 67,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $69,329 | +$209 +0.3% | 2 |
| 47d | 33pls | ↑ 82,500 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 47d | smartttt | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$112 +6.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 100,000 means the market gives it about 0%.