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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 116,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 106,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 114,000 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 112,000 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 104,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 118,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 102,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 96,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 108,000 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355d |  meowmers | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,845 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 355d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,935 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 355d | hjnyterh | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,243 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | hndhj | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,510 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | ghtrshhtre | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | 555.eth | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,440 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | fdgr445 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,949 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | IKJ8765RJ765E4 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,232 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | YT45WTGERW | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | FGDHYRET | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,351 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | JU7Y6TJHE | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | UJ7H65YE | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 355d | HE56TY | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | htss | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,688 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | gerer95 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,443 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | gttr545 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,383 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | hgtrs5h | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | gfvreas | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,364 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | kmyuftg | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | machachain | ↓ 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 355d | yakumaha | ↓ 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 355d | yuyuyuyua | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,187 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | baseballman | ↓ 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,031 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 355d | baseballman | ↓ 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,031 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $7,447 | −$2,953 −40% | — |
| 355d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↑ 116,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,086 | −$1,086 −100% | 5 |
| 355d | ngggrah | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$160 +10% | 3 |
| 355d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,782 | +$792 +10% | 2 |
| 355d | oilvar | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,050 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | nickiolp | ↓ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,853 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d |  ViratOpdhoni | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,134 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 355d | lavy | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,261 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 355d | chloerl | ↓ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,109 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d |  justdance | ↑ 116,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 5 |
| 355d |  Occult | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,920 | +$80 +1.6% | 2 |
| 355d | Thin-Print5 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $15,419 | +$2,514 +16% | 3 |
| 355d | Thin-Print | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,101 | −$179 −3.5% | — |
| 355d | dhamilton | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$95 −6.8% | — |
| 355d | justdance23 fills | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $42,684 | +$32,409 +76% | 3 |
| 355d | dhamilton | ↓ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,496 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 355d | yaokan | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 355d | justdance4 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $10,722 | +$1,482 +14% | 3 |
| 356d | kkstar | ↑ 118,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,175 | −$125 −3.0% | — |
| 356d | affs20791 | ↑ 116,000 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | −$478 −20% | — |
| 356d |  BoringPunter | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,966 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | opisthechoice | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,297 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | wHAFDAR | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 356d | jsghsth | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | +$17 +0.7% | 2 |
| 356d | htafaSFHS | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,267 | +$18 +0.8% | 2 |
| 356d | gofuther | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | BoringPunter2 fills | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,644 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | BoringPunter | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,760 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | BoringPunter2 fills | ↓ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,457 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | magaagain | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,557 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | meowmers | ↑ 116,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$20 +1.8% | 2 |
| 356d | BoringPunter2 fills | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,988 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | halasouhu | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,596 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | lothy | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | pouhy | ↓ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | grteshftd | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,572 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 20-26?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.
