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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,613 | +$79 +0.8% | 2 |
| 67d |  Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,710 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,672 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | Tttyh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,305 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d |  walnascar | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | Navigator77 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$29 +0.7% | 2 |
| 67d | Navigator77 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 67,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,218 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 67d |  GoodLuck688862 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,565 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 67d | onlyhit | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,827 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 67d | farthingmore | ↓ 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 67d | farthingmore | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 3 |
| 68d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 68d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,750 | +$250 +1.0% | 2 |
| 68d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,556 | +$82 +1.8% | 2 |
bjprolo5 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 68,000 means the market gives it about 0%.