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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d |  Facaie | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 66d | onlyhit | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$36 +1.9% | 2 |
| 66d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,701 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d |  walnascar | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,985 | +$2,542 +32% | 4 |
| 66d | Navigator77 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,400 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d | Navigator77 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d | Navigator77 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d | suyizi | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,393 | +$47 +0.9% | 2 |
| 67d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 67d | VASIL | ↓ 63,000 | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | +$1,355 +100% | — |
| 67d | gekuro | ↓ 63,000 | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,761 | +$1,761 +100% | — |
| 67d |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,932 | +$882 +8.1% | 2 |
| 67d | Kirilli | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | +$42 +1.3% | 2 |
| 67d |  LiMoon | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,887 | +$51 +1.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.