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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d |  Facaie | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,916 | +$805 +28% | 3 |
| 65d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,445 | +$185 +4.2% | 2 |
| 65d |  Tttyh | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | Tttyh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 65d | Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,450 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d |  walnascar | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Rin2x | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | suyizi | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,838 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$29 +2.1% | 2 |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$20 +1.1% | 2 |
bjprolo5 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.