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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,285 | +$160 +4.9% | 2 |
| 64d | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 64d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,967 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Navigator77 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$31 +0.4% | 2 |
| 65d | ↓ 63,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,402 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,612 | +$128 +2.8% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | onlyhit | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.