Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d |  Tttyh | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,086 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,163 | +$128 +1.3% | 2 |
| 63d |  walnascar | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | Tttyh | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  Velvet-Soul | ↑ 64,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 63d | Navigator77 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Navigator77 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 |
| 63d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,779 | +$101 +2.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Greencandle102 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,051 | −$2,051 −100% | 7 |
| 64d | Greencandle10 | ↓ 62,000 | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,118 | +$1,118 +100% | — |
| 64d | Velvet-Soul | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$181 +16% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 63,000 means the market gives it about 100%.