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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | Dou123 | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,637 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
| 58d |  Tttyh | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,198 | +$280 +1.7% | 2 |
| 58d | Tttyh | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,080 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | onlyhit | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 58d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,655 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,611 | +$144 +1.5% | 2 |
| 58d |  olegs | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 58d | Wizaa | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,584 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 58d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $4,378 | +$1,572 +36% | 4 |
| 58d |  justdance | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$110 +9.9% | 3 |
| 58d | neutralwave23 | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | −$1,093 −41% | — |
| 58d | justdance4 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $13,133 | −$13,133 −100% | 4 |
| 58d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,867 | −$30 −0.5% | — |
| 58d | Navigator77 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,400 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | Navigator77 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | onlyhit | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,464 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 59d | olegs | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,682 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,356 | +$75 +1.0% | 2 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $6,928 | −$6,928 −100% | 4 |
| 59d | Selfish-Administrator | ↑ 69,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,868 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Selfish-Administrator | ↑ 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Sharky69993 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,682 | +$118 +2.5% | 2 |
| 59d | Sharky69993 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,117 | −$3,117 −100% | 4 |
| 59d | DFV22 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,799 | +$253 +2.9% | 2 |
| 59d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$21 +1.3% | 2 |
| 59d |  ProudIsraeli | ↑ 69,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | duneprod1 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,490 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | strengthinnumbers | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | −$1,313 −100% | 4 |
| 59d | duneprod1 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,531 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | Prize-Judge | ↑ 67,000 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | −$996 −27% | — |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,706 | +$1,008 +37% | 4 |
| 59d | retokloreretpo | ↑ 67,000 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,516 | −$2,034 −81% | — |
| 59d | duneprod1 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,956 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$167 +11% | 3 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,788 | +$276 +9.9% | 3 |
| 59d | gekuro | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | −$1,568 −100% | 5 |
| 59d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,802 | +$95 +1.6% | 2 |
| 59d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $4,934 | −$4,934 −100% | 2 |
thx4playing3,510 shares
wowohaha500 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 70,000 means the market gives it about 100%.