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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | Mizukaze | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,996 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 54d | Mizukaze | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,108 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | +$50 +1.2% | 2 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,515 | +$1,464 +32% | 4 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 5 |
| 54d | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 54d | Dou1232 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,691 | +$243 +9.0% | 3 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,580 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,700 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 0xvanilla | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,317 | +$174 +7.5% | 2 |
| 55d | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 55d | lan008 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$32 +1.4% | 2 |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 |
| 55d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$50 +3.7% | 2 |
| 55d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | +$1,684 +59% | 4 | |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$22 +1.8% | 2 |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 79,000 means the market gives it about 0%.