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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 52d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$730 +16% | 3 | |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$32 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$347 +25% | 3 |
| 52d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,243 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $4,140 | −$4,140 −100% | 4 |
| 52d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | Navigator77 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,560 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$92 +3.6% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 25?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 0%.