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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,099 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Mizukaze | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,736 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$480 +19% | 3 | |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,540 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 52d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 52d | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 26?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.