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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,043 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 50d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,189 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 50d |  Tttyh | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,116 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 50d | Tianhe | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$45 +1.8% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 4 |
| 50d | Sharky69992 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$176 +5.8% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $2,955 | −$2,955 −100% | 4 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d |  win-ok | ↓ 77,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$53 −4.0% | — |
| 51d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | ↑ 81,000 | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$1,396 −117% | — |
| 51d |  justdance | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,323 | +$228 +5.3% | 2 |
| 51d | justdance | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,518 | −$1,518 −100% | 4 |
| 51d | duneprod1 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,329 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 27?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 79,000 means the market gives it about 100%.