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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −96 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,156 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,428 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,451 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 49d | Navigator77 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 49d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 50d | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$225 −17% | — | |
| 50d | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 50d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 50d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$18 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 50d | Lkens | ↓ 79,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 50d | duneprod1 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,448 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 4 |
| 50d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$328 +20% | 3 |
| 50d | VASIL | ↓ 78,000 | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$1,939 −170% | — |
| 50d | VASIL | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,920 +178% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 28?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.