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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,152 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 46d | Facaie | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 46d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar2 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,980 | +$476 +4.3% | 2 |
| 46d | Navigator77 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 46d | Navigator77 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 47d | nicoco | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,630 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 47d | Sharky69994 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,949 | +$91 +1.5% | 2 |
| 47d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$291 +21% | 3 |
| 47d |  justdance | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$51 +4.0% | 2 |
| 47d | justdance | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$82 +5.6% | 2 |
| 47d | win88889999 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$115 +4.0% | 2 |
| 47d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$80 +5.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 31?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 0%.
