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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 62,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 61,000 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 53,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d |  upont | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,812 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,943 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 109d |  Tttyh | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,655 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 109d | TirzaHeliodoraz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | SoledadGenazolq | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | RosaliaFabioladz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | PazDamarisdlqz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | OlgaCarolinaaz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,045 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | NievesBelenolzm | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | MargaritaAnazd | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | dsMargaritaAnazd | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,039 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | LuisaZarayaolq | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,039 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | KarmenYolandadz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | JacintaXeniaolz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,039 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | IgnaciaWilmazq | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | HortensiaVeraaz | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,042 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | GuadalupeUlaol | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,042 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | FatimaTamaradzx | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,041 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,763 | +$255 +5.4% | 2 |
| 109d | JJ121885 | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$65 +2.2% | 2 |
| 109d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $8,822 | +$2,941 +33% | 4 |
| 109d | Tttyh | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,511 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | ppobb1123 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,008 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,128 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 109d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $4,999 | −$4,999 −100% | 6 |
| 109d |  walnascar | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,344 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$1,505 +100% | 4 |
| 110d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,703 | +$108 +2.3% | 2 |
| 110d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,523 | +$73 +1.1% | 2 |
| 110d |  Tudorpopirl | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,217 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | Unfolded-Keeper | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,202 | +$26 +0.8% | 2 |
| 110d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
| 110d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,518 | +$352 +6.4% | 2 |
| 110d | justdance | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,890 | +$1,002 +20% | 3 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | +$388 +15% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 29?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 60,000 means the market gives it about 100%.