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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↑ 73,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,398 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Bustling-Repository | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,616 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Strict-Nanoparticle | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,649 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Noted-Currency | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,444 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Worthwhile-Crunch | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | choohkz23 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,918 | +$543 +9.2% | 3 |
| 216d | ktxaerik | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | madutu | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,656 | +$26 +1.0% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,979 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige2 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,637 | +$244 +2.1% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | madutu | ↓ 69,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,027 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 216d | p4fabian | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,154 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,732 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | ruthfy | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,153 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | huiling | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,181 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d | madutu | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,010 | +$32 +0.5% | 2 |
| 216d | Ybwyqw | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  Tttyh | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  TTokin | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,331 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | deranged | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,627 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | ah0.1 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,775 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Attentive-Silica4 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $8,608 | +$3,177 +37% | 4 |
| 216d | li-20022 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 217d | udontknowanything | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Thin-Print | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 217d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,414 | +$548 +7.4% | 3 |
| 217d | matsuii | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 217d | Funboyboy | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,786 | +$72 +0.3% | 2 |
| 217d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$30 +1.5% | 2 |
| 217d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | ↓ 71,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 217d | charlie2026 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 217d | Funboyboy | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 217d | Funboyboy | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,221 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
0xleo8882,378 shares
SIM1111,377 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on March 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 71,000 means the market gives it about 100%.