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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,392 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | Colorful-Fireplace | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d |  Ambitious-Spat | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,352 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d |  Facaie | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 148d | reghtjy | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | GASDASFGASD | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | GASFDASFA | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | regfdhgfjhg | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | TGASDASAEGFA | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | SDFSGDSFDFSADDGF | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | sgfhyj | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | rgtdrjkjuhjk | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 148d | Funboyboy | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,512 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 148d | rusgreat | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,984 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 148d | Tianhe | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$90 +2.2% | 2 |
| 148d | Unwelcome-Wrap2 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $204,296 | +$205 +0.1% | 2 |
| 148d |  Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,902 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 148d | Foxhound99 | ↑ 79,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$71 −6.9% | — |
| 149d | Doomster | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Ambitious-Spat | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$129 +11% | 3 |
| 149d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$397 +7.9% | 2 |
| 149d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,583 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$68 +6.2% | 2 |
| 149d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$87 +5.3% | 2 |
| 149d | 0xbdab…6c73 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 85,000 means the market gives it about 0%.