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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 83,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,101 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Cactus-001 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,555 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,992 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,809 | +$119 +2.0% | 2 |
| 164d | Funboyboy | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,978 | +$54 +0.9% | 2 |
| 164d | nomalmaker | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,337 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 |
| 164d | xiaohao023 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,093 | +$694 +14% | 3 | |
| 164d | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | +$1,961 +48% | 4 |
| 164d | Mad-GranNew account | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$564 +56% | 8 |
| 164d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,188 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 164d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,041 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 164d | bigcryptobet | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,740 | −$1,740 −100% | 4 |
| 164d | KLAUSPMBP | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$161 +6.4% | 2 |
| 164d | Spectacular-Underwire | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$57 +5.3% | 3 |
| 164d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,180 | −$2,180 −100% | 6 | |
| 164d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$45 +2.3% | 2 |
| 164d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$187 +12% | 3 |
| 164d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$405 +15% | 3 |
| 165d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 83,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,351 | −$768 −18% | — |
| 165d | bianrenshengW | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | −$1,249 −100% | 5 |
| 165d | bianrenshengW | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 5 |
| 165d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,953 | +$42 +1.4% | 2 |
| 165d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,445 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 81,000 means the market gives it about 100%.