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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d |  Tttyh | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,348 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d |  walnascar | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,704 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | Luna2002 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,389 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 6d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 7d | shaillakhani | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 6 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 83,000 means the market gives it about 100%.