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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 93,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  upont2 fills | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,261 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
| 14d | upont | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,132 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Sharky69995 fills | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,554 | +$446 +4.7% | 2 |
| 14d | Doomster | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,281 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,520 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Lkens | ↓ 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,056 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | duneprod1 | ↓ 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,584 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 14d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 84,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,869 | +$2,419 +84% | 4 |
| 14d |  Facaie | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 15d |  justdance2 fills | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,637 | +$369 +4.3% | 2 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↑ 88,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,241 | −$1,241 −100% | 5 |
| 15d | johnsalchichon | ↑ 87,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 85,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$1,775 +93% | 4 |
| 15d | shaillakhani | ↓ 84,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$2,033 +156% | 5 |
KOMZY457 shares
mango0x200 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 2?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 83,000 means the market gives it about 0%.