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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | Mizukaze | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,965 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,470 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,886 | +$102 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,562 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,916 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,696 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$33 +2.6% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 43d | lan008 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$10 +0.8% | 2 |
| 43d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$111 +11% | 3 |
| 43d | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$114 +7.7% | 2 | |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,641 | +$349 +7.5% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$77 +5.8% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.