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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,487 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 37d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,430 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d | Mizukaze | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,861 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d |  upont | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,504 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d |  Tttyh | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,398 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 37d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,861 | +$106 +3.7% | 2 |
| 37d |  walnascar | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,261 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 37d | shaillakhani | ↓ 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,042 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 37d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$292 +9.7% | 3 |
| 37d | Navigator77 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 37d | Navigator77 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 37d | farthingmore | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 3 |
| 38d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,180 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 38d |  Facaie | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 38d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 77,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | −$1,041 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | justdance | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,361 | −$1,361 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,948 | +$822 +12% | 3 |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$102 +3.5% | 2 |
| 38d | justdance | ↑ 81,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | −$1,243 −100% | 5 |
| 38d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 3 |
endlesssss2,795 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 0%.