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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1,900 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,200 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,150 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,100 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,050 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 1,950 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,850 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,800 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,750 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,700 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,650 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,600 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,550 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d | Ill-Informed-Rib | ↑ 1,900 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,353 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | duneprod1 | ↑ 1,900 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,178 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 61d | getbipped3 fills | ↑ 1,900 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $6,480 | −$6,480 −100% | 3 |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 1,900 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$1,085 +69% | 4 |
| 62d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 1,850 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$224 +19% | 3 |
NotSomeGambler380 sharesWhat price will Ethereum hit on August 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 1,900 means the market gives it about 100%.