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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 5.00 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 5.50 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 3.50 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1.00 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1.50 | 100% | +81 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4.00 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2.00 | 100% | +68 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 4.50 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | Dit26978 | ↓ 1.50 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,177 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | Dit26978 | ↓ 1.00 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,073 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 262d | chuddercheese2 fills | ↑ 5.50 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,761 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 268d | uloo | ↓ 1.00 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$59 +4.2% | 2 |
| 270d | Ryan1365 | ↑ 5.00 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 277d | ElongatedMushroom | ↓ 2.00 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,960 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  XieGuangKun | ↑ 4.00 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$116 +11% | 2 |
What price will Lighter hit in January?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 5.00 means the market gives it about 0%.