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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $80 | 100% | +30 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $85 | 0% | +14 pts | +9 pts | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $70 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $65 | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $100 | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $95 | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $80 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $90 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $60 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $75 | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $45 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $40 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $50 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $105 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $55 | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $110 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $75 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $80 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | lilesto | ↓ $65 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 46d | Filthy-Shallot | ↑ $95 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 46d | Filthy-Shallot | ↑ $100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $80 means the market gives it about 100%.