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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $176 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $208 | 100% | +32 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $152 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $184 | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $168 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $160 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $216 | 0% | −1 pts | −41 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $224 | 0% | −1 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $232 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $240 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $248 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $256 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $192 | 100% | +16 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $200 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d | laoalaodalaozhen | ↓ $168 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | godblessmegagain | ↓ $168 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | cixiongsshuanggujian | ↓ $160 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | yuanshenqidong324 | ↓ $152 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | hysadhu2 | ↓ $152 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,536 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d |  olegs | ↓ $168 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,492 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 78d | olegs | ↓ $160 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 78d | olegs | ↓ $152 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,993 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 80d | pmwinner | ↓ $176 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$22 +1.5% | 4 |
| 99d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $208 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 99d | PineapplePizza6969 | ↑ $208 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 99d | Rock.San | ↑ $208 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 107d | cryptoincome | ↓ $152 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$61 +4.4% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $176 means the market gives it about 0%.