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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,300 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,800 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,900 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,400 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,500 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,700 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,600 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,600 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,400 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,200 | 100% | +8 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,300 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,100 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,000 | 100% | +7 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d | iliabouchouev | ↓ $3,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,750 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | nakam | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,513 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d |  FXC | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,837 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | FXC | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,989 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | FXC | ↓ $3,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | C03B | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,039 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d | C03B | ↓ $3,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,863 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d | C03B | ↑ $4,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,693 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d | iliabouchouev | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,674 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d |  lionone1 | ↓ $3,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 79d | Avamax4 fills | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,203 | +$199 +0.8% | 4 |
| 79d | jjjclv6 | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d |  EgoVolae | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$37 +2.5% | 4 |
| 81d | JamieIstanbul | ↓ $3,800 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$25 −2.3% | — |
| 82d | iliabouchouev | ↑ $4,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,226 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 84d | RealMaxNick2 fills | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$161 +6.0% | 4 |
| 85d | 0x4a0b…7a11 | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$210 +2.1% | 4 |
| 85d | Avamax5 fills | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,450 | +$342 +4.0% | 4 |
| 86d | momo513 | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 86d | Avamax2 fills | ↑ $4,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,367 | +$31 +1.3% | 4 |
| 86d | RealMaxNick | ↓ $3,900 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$329 −25% | — |
| 86d | Serpentine-Majority | ↓ $3,800 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | −$41 −2.1% | — |
| 87d | Corrupt-Lark3 fills | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,414 | +$401 +6.3% | 4 |
| 89d | kevinlim883 | ↓ $3,700 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$365 +3.6% | 4 |
| 90d | JamieIstanbul | ↓ $3,900 | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | −$732 −56% | — |
| 94d | RealMaxNick3 fills | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$801 +15% | 4 |
| 94d | MickyMauldib | ↓ $3,900 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$552 +37% | 4 |
| 95d |  ronm2383 fills | ↑ $4,400 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,512 | −$1,309 −17% | — |
| 95d |  Alicia | ↑ $4,500 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$62 +4.2% | 4 |
| 96d | trx1 | ↑ $4,300 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$595 +44% | 4 |
| 97d | ronm2382 fills | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$995 +18% | 4 |
| 98d | Cbb. | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$173 +14% | 4 |
| 98d | Cbb. | ↑ $4,500 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$82 +6.4% | 4 |
| 101d | commeowder | ↓ $3,600 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | −$61 −4.2% | — |
| 103d | trx1 | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$612 +56% | 4 |
| 103d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $4,200 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | +$27 +1.2% | 4 |
| 104d | Indelible-Roast | ↓ $3,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 104d | Avamax | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$178 +8.0% | 4 |
| 104d | MickyMauldib | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$229 +19% | 4 |
| 105d | cryptoincome | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$75 +6.8% | 4 |
| 105d | 0xd269…6b9a | ↓ $3,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$213 +1.1% | 4 |
| 106d | RealMaxNick | ↑ $4,500 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$167 −16% | — |
| 106d | momo513 | ↓ $3,500 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,437 | +$102 +4.2% | 4 |
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in July 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $4,300 means the market gives it about 0%.