Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Artemis | 100% | +18 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Apollo | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mars | 100% | +24 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | +77 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| SpaceX | 100% | +35 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China / Chinese | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Space Shuttle | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Astronaut | 100% | +11 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Russia / Russian | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Drones | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon / Musk | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Cosmonaut | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Robot / Robotic | 100% | +10 pts | — | 14¢ · 100¢ (86¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,879 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve based on the NASA news conference on an event at Kennedy Space Center tied to America's 250th anniversary, currently scheduled to take place on August 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event from: https://www.youtube.com/live/I_GUQdY01b0. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for -No Qualifying Event- means the market gives it about 0%.