Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Council | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Treason | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jail | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marriage | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grace 20+ times | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dragon 20+ times | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bastard | 0% | +37 pts | — | — · 96¢ | — | ended |
| War 8+ times | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death 5+ times | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · 90¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Surrender | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Usurper | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Queen 10+ times | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Storm | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 98¢ | — | ended |
| Wine | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Soldier | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · 12¢ | — | ended |
| God 5+ times | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prophecy | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mercy | 100% | −4 pts | — | 66¢ · 100¢ (34¢) | — | ended |
| Betray | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conquest | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Kingdom | 100% | +3 pts | — | 77¢ · 100¢ (23¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Episode 7 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on August 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by August 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Council means the market gives it about 0%.