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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alcohol | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 5+ times | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assault | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woman/Women 5+ times | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 10+ times | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sex | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fake news | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drunk | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Affair | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Divorce | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lie | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Racist/Racism | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Witch hunt | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679d | Trump 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,135 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Trump 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,560 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Woman/Women 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,762 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Alcohol | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,102 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Racist/Racism | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,143 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Sex | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,100 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Drunk | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,135 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Lie | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,172 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Affair | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,167 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Assault | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,048 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Divorce | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,080 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Fake news | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,067 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Witch hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,275 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 679d | Ukraine | BuyNo100¢ | $1,020 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 680d | Alcohol | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$70 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 681d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,482 | +$145 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 682d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,816 | +$499 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 682d | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$67 +6.4% | 22 |
This is a market on predicting what Hegseth will say during his interview on Fox.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.