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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris 30+ times | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 30+ times | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 20+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hillbilly | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stolen valor | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fire/Fired | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haitian | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal alien | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cat | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Usha | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 3+ times | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris 15+ times | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| IVF | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mamaw | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Helene | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 745d |  Anon5215 | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $2,814 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 745d |  Dill-pickle | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,088 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d |  Milktoast | IVF | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,647 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | DaKakuna | Helene | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 745d | anon1565 | Usha | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,120 | +$130 +3.2% | 20 |
| 745d | AJM96 | Tampon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.1% | 20 |
| 745d | Anon5215 | Fire/Fired | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 20 |
| 745d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Fire/Fired | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d |  Dropper | Fire/Fired | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$97 +8.7% | 20 |
| 745d | NBetz | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d |  Axios | Fire/Fired | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,917 +97% | 20 |
| 745d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Abortion | SellYes100¢ | $3,382 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 745d | Milktoast | Fire/Fired | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 20 |
| 745d |  funnyday | Border 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,134 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Border 5+ times | SellYes100¢ | $2,049 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 745d |  flamingfish | Kamala Harris 30+ times | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$183 −18% | — |
| 745d | Axios | Israel | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 745d | Axios | Fentanyl | SellYes>99¢ | $1,995 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 745d | W1nn3r | Abortion | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$226 +7.5% | 20 |
| 745d | W1nn3r | Trump 30+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d | FalC0N2 fills | Inflation | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | +$107 +2.5% | 20 |
| 745d | Chad-Wasp | Haitian | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$120 −9.9% | — |
| 745d | Rainiak | Kamala Harris 15+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,029 | +$107 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d | JJJ777 | Kamala Harris 15+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d | poptree | Border 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d |  carp2 fills | Border 5+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,314 | +$458 +11% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios | Border 5+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$333 +11% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios | Fentanyl | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$317 +15% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios | Illegal alien | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$219 +7.3% | 20 |
| 745d | Rainiak | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$498 +33% | 20 |
| 745d | whynot123 | Fire/Fired | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$923 −61% | — |
| 745d | FatFinger | Trump 30+ times | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,750 | +$2,750 +100% | — |
| 745d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump 20+ times | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | +$669 +23% | 20 |
| 745d |  ANudeEgg | Mamaw | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,286 | +$2,112 +49% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 745d | Imperfect-Beetle | Tampon | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,625 | −$2,625 −100% | 23 |
| 745d | BidenSucks | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 20 |
| 745d |  Apsalar | Israel | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$92 +4.2% | 20 |
| 745d |  RewardsPeasant | Cat | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 22 |
| 745d |  Wloczega | Haitian | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$758 +61% | 20 |
| 745d |  palisade | Stolen valor | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 20 |
| 745d | Ch52 fills | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $6,824 | +$3,731 +55% | 20 |
| 745d |  9flare | Inflation | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,615 | +$138 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d | Bitcoin1776 | IVF | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $5,859 | −$5,859 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | whynot123 | Fire/Fired | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$730 +43% | 20 |
| 745d |  frenchlaundry | Trump 30+ times | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,108 | +$2,108 +100% | — |
| 745d | X2024 | Tampon | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$591 +35% | 20 |
| 745d | mamayoko | Hillbilly | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$252 +25% | 20 |
| 745d | aze | Trump 20+ times | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 24 |
| 745d |  JanSobieski3 | Stolen valor | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 20 |
| 745d |  0943 | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $3,248 | −$3,248 −100% | 23 |
| 745d | anon1565 | Kamala Harris 15+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$734 +15% | 20 |
| 745d | Bold-Evolution | Inflation | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$88 +5.3% | 20 |
| 745d |  fhantombets | IVF | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | jcharles10 | Tampon | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,782 | −$1,782 −100% | 22 |
| 745d | Niniti2 | Usha | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | +$2,009 +49% | 20 |
| 745d | rom7eo | Inflation | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$102 −6.4% | — |
| 745d |  g... | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | g... | Trump 30+ times | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | lil-uzi-squirt | Israel | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$80 +6.4% | 20 |
g...2,658 shares
bliss3135 sharesThis is a market on predicting the statements made by JD Vance during the upcoming debate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris 30+ times means the market gives it about 100%.