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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cut 7+ times | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Growth 10+ times | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unemployment 5+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Price 10+ times | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667d |  mango-lassi | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 667d |  Infringe2 fills | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,157 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 667d |  BustedCungly | Cut 7+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,163 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | Nahhhhhh2 fills | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,390 | +$68 +0.9% | 20 |
| 667d |  WillieBrown | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes>99¢ | $1,537 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 667d |  pirateshere | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,394 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 667d | longtern | Tariff | SellYes>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | Nahhhhhh | Unemployment 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 667d | birkenstocks | Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 667d |  AgricultureSecretary | Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | +$34 +2.0% | 20 |
| 667d | BobbyB2 fills | Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$89 +2.0% | 20 |
| 667d |  noreasapa | Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$44 +2.0% | 20 |
| 667d |  Dropper | Growth 10+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$19 +1.2% | 20 |
| 667d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 667d |  starbuck022 fills | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,201 | +$45 +1.4% | 20 |
| 667d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 667d | Dropper | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$64 +6.4% | 20 |
| 667d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$116 +6.4% | 20 |
| 667d | bobbers5 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $25,725 | +$13,515 +53% | 22 |
| 667d | Methoudz | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes>99¢ | $2,028 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 667d |  reddington | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,592 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 667d | pulan | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $10,150 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | JJI | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 667d |  Axios4 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $16,432 | +$2,439 +15% | 20 |
| 667d |  Anon1792681 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$700 +16% | 20 |
| 667d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,466 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 667d | AgricultureSecretary | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,960 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 667d | Dropper2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,171 | +$252 +3.5% | 20 |
| 667d |  Eridpnc2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,520 | +$2,884 +64% | 20 |
| 667d | starbuck02 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,738 | +$302 +6.4% | 20 |
| 667d | Eridpnc | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | notmrx1 | Tariff | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 667d | m07m | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,072 | −$1,072 −100% | 20 |
| 667d | Eridpnc2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,861 | +$39 +1.0% | 20 |
| 667d | AgricultureSecretary | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,863 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 667d | TKN | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $3,494 | −$3,494 −100% | 20 |
| 667d | Cbarbhwux | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $6,345 | −$6,345 −100% | 20 |
| 667d | Axios | Tariff | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,737 | +$214 +7.8% | 20 |
| 667d | Ronaldo2100 | Unemployment 5+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$203 +11% | 20 |
| 667d | Ronaldo2100 | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $5,180 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | Dropper | Cut 7+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 20 |
| 667d |  BlackSky123 | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 667d | maxehr | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$231 +15% | 20 |
| 667d |  Apsalar | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,060 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 667d | Axios | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$48 +2.4% | 20 |
| 667d | Dropper | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,235 | +$125 +1.4% | 20 |
| 667d | pulan2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,828 | +$232 +4.0% | 21 |
| 667d |  Lehi | Inflation 50+ times | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$1,062 −69% | — |
| 667d | fundamentalmisunderstanding | Good Afternoon | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | +$208 +7.4% | 20 |
| 667d |  cdpor2 | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$1,113 +72% | 20 |
| 668d |  mr.ozi | Trump | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,728 | +$1,272 +22% | 20 |
| 668d | Monster24 | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$139 +11% | 20 |
| 668d |  turtle911 | Tariff 5+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$112 +11% | 23 |
| 668d | turtle911 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,374 | +$77 +3.2% | 21 |
| 668d | fraggy69 | Growth 10+ times | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$419 +39% | 29 |
| 668d |  coby | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,643 | −$1,643 −100% | 23 |
| 668d | coby | Trump | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$333 +26% | 27 |
| 668d | tarcxkckm2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $9,225 | +$9,225 +100% | — |
| 668d | therecb | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$4,400 +67% | 30 |
| 668d | Ksjcgggg | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $6,900 | +$4,600 +67% | 30 |
This is a market on predictions regarding Jerome Powell's statements during the December Federal Reserve meeting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Good Afternoon means the market gives it about 100%.
