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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parliament 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Starmer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Common / Commons | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mother | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Healthcare | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Government 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| House / Housing | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Security | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Education | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Health | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Defense | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frankly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Economy | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gas | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brexit | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Failure | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Controversial | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| War | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Defeat | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Parliament 3+ times means the market gives it about 0%.