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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | 100% | +31 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venezuela / Maduro | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrat | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran / Iranian | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| JD / Vance | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −19 pts | — | <1¢ · 29¢ (29¢) | — | ended |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · 28¢ | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +26 pts | — | 50¢ · 100¢ (50¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 32¢ | — | ended |
| Meme | 100% | +29 pts | — | 11¢ · 100¢ (89¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d | Self-Reliant-Fatigue | Trump 3+ times | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$469 −34% | — |
Xzibit69193 shares
DREAMBIG.46 shares
.heart25 sharesMarco Rubio is scheduled to appear on Fox News: My View on August 1 at 9:00 PM ET (https://x.com/MyViewFNC/status/2082912630755201288?s=46&t=KIQP6O7wzTwc0Obf_fs9_g). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market is explicitly about the scheduled Fox News: My View interview. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not aired by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video/audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.