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Polymarket · CryptoClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 50 | 100% | +74 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 40 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 60 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | ↓ 40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | ↑ 70 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 193d | KennethSweeney4052 | ↑ 70 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$428 +37% | 2 |
| 197d | ↓ 50 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,186 | +$462 +11% | 2 | |
| 205d | ↓ 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$44 +4.2% | 2 | |
| 210d | ↓ 50 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,817 | +$211 +3.1% | 2 |
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 50 means the market gives it about 100%.