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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venture Capitalist | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris 15+ times | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion 5+ times | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 20+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Racist | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris 30+ times | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Haitian | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 30+ times | 100% | +58 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Couch | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Dog | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Weird | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Football | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Teacher | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Concept | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Coach | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Yale | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Helene | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 745d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d |  Yk46-238 | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$23 +1.2% | 20 |
| 745d | DaKakuna3 fills | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,952 | +$146 +3.0% | 20 |
| 745d |  Brokie | Dog | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | anon15652 fills | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,158 | +$225 +2.8% | 20 |
| 745d | Breeezy | Abortion | SellYes>99¢ | $2,227 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 745d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Kamala Harris 30+ times | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$61 −4.0% | — |
| 745d | anon1565 | Haitian | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$37 +2.8% | 20 |
| 745d | MickBob5 fills | Venture Capitalist | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $7,207 | −$7,207 −100% | 25 |
| 745d |  TortugaGorda | Dog | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,713 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 745d | nostradamus77 | Abortion 5+ times | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | −$104 −7.5% | — |
| 745d |  Axios | Coach | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,451 +123% | 21 |
| 745d | Axios | Dog | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | +$3,457 +201% | 22 |
| 745d | kingfisher | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,742 | +$936 +25% | 20 |
| 745d | lug | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 20 |
| 745d | lug | Dog | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Abortion | SellYes>99¢ | $1,276 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 745d |  LastChanceSaloon | Tampon | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$133 +11% | 20 |
| 745d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Gun | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,108 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios8 fills | Football | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $15,325 | +$4,993 +33% | 20 |
| 745d | poptree | Gun | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,196 | +$83 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios3 fills | Gun | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,016 | +$79 +1.1% | 20 |
| 745d | JJJ777 | Gun | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d | hmmmmm-365 | Abortion 5+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,447 | +$185 +5.4% | 20 |
| 745d | Brokie | Venture Capitalist | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,173 | +$616 +19% | 20 |
| 745d | Niniti2 | Abortion 5+ times | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,057 | −$2,057 −100% | 23 |
| 745d | BY100 - 1991 | Haitian | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | −$1,246 −100% | 22 |
| 745d |  palisade | Football | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,672 | −$1,672 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios | Venture Capitalist | SellYes99¢ → 0¢ | $7,742 | +$7,742 +100% | — |
| 745d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Venture Capitalist | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $9,470 | −$9,470 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | Axios3 fills | Venture Capitalist | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $8,096 | −$8,096 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | Niniti2 | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,173 | −$2,173 −100% | 24 |
| 745d | Niniti2 | Trump 30+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$86 +5.6% | 20 |
| 745d |  Apsalar | Teacher | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | nostracanis | Weird | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $3,156 | −$3,156 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | poptree2 fills | Helene | BuyNo43¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | +$4,922 +133% | 22 |
| 745d | poptree | Helene | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $4,740 | −$4,740 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Kamala Harris 15+ times | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,581 | −$1,581 −100% | 23 |
| 745d | Niniti2 | Trump 20+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$133 +4.2% | 20 |
| 745d | BidenSucks | Trump 30+ times | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$1,475 +144% | 20 |
| 745d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Trump 30+ times | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$1,966 +144% | 21 |
| 745d | Axios | Iran | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 745d | LastChanceSaloon | Teacher | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$220 −12% | — |
| 745d | palisade2 fills | Abortion 5+ times | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,524 | −$2,058 −45% | — |
| 745d |  RewardsPeasant2 fills | Weird | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | +$3,848 +93% | 20 |
| 745d | LobsterMobster | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$740 +54% | 20 |
| 745d |  sUSDe2 fills | Abortion 5+ times | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 25 |
| 745d |  frenchlaundry | Israel | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$97 +7.5% | 20 |
| 745d | flipoutput | Venture Capitalist | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,999 | −$1,999 −100% | 21 |
| 745d | vizsla | Haitian | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 20 |
| 745d |  0943 | Trump 20+ times | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 21 |
| 745d | vizsla | Dog | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$2,236 +163% | 21 |
| 745d | MickBob | Haitian | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,318 | −$1,318 −100% | 21 |
| 745d | aze | Couch | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | −$1,113 −100% | 21 |
| 745d | MickBob | Racist | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,370 | −$1,370 −100% | 22 |
| 745d |  JanSobieski3 | Kamala Harris 30+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$1,051 +54% | 20 |
| 745d | 0943 | Gun | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 21 |
| 745d | 0943 | Trump 30+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,890 | −$1,890 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | cam999999999 | Trump 30+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | −$1,220 −100% | 20 |
| 745d | bmtree | Abortion | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | +$65 +3.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Tim Walz during the upcoming debate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Venture Capitalist means the market gives it about 0%.