Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somalia / Somalian | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 7+ times | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 15+ times | 0% | −81 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama 9+ times | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eight Wars | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ford / General Motors | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro / Dictator | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ICE | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrat Shutdown | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Electric / Nuclear 3+ times | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ballroom / 250 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scam / Fraud 2+ times | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Midterm Election | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nobel | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USIFTA / NAFTA | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | yougotme | Ballroom / 250 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,177 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 276d | yougotme | Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 276d |  vayz | Somalia / Somalian | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,191 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d | irbisSS | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,445 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d |  CosmicCedar | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 276d | btacc | Job 15+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 20 |
| 276d | yougotme | Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,673 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d | btacc | Somalia / Somalian | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,913 | −$28 −1.0% | — |
| 276d | yougotme | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d | RGKI | Job 15+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 20 |
| 276d | yougotme | Ballroom / 250 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$21 +2.0% | 20 |
| 276d |  noreasapa | Biden / Obama 9+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$32 +3.1% | 20 |
| 276d |  macrosteaks | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$292 +16% | 20 |
| 276d | 0xB29304109238401 | Somalia / Somalian | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$110 +9.3% | 20 |
| 276d | ace2 fills | Somalia / Somalian | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$251 +9.0% | 20 |
| 276d | Thankful-Lookout | Somalia / Somalian | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 276d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,068 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 276d | phambitious | Hell 7+ times | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 277d |  qjrPM1 | Hottest | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$175 +17% | 20 |
| 277d |  jishu | ICE | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$725 +72% | 20 |
| 277d |  peichang | ICE | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$1,071 +72% | 20 |
| 277d |  jiubuwan | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$891 +89% | 20 |
| 277d |  chaonimahema | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$959 +89% | 20 |
| 277d |  buwanmeme | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$999 +89% | 20 |
| 277d |  hemasima | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$928 +89% | 20 |
| 277d |  guanggao | Hell 7+ times | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$895 +89% | 20 |
JPDegen180 shares
pifu88 sharesDonald Trump is set to deliver a speech at the Detroit Economic Club on on January 13, 2026 (see: https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/10/donald-trump-michigan-detroit-economic-club-visit-speech/88118101007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the speech at the Detroit Economic Club (https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/10/donald-trump-michigan-detroit-economic-club-visit-speech/88118101007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Somalia / Somalian means the market gives it about 100%.