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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine 15+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BRICS / NATO 2+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden's war | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kyiv | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Rare Earth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Secondary tariff / Sanction | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve / Witkoff | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crimea | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nord Stream / Pipeline | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Drone | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President Xi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427d |  tsadachartsad | Zelensky | SellYes>99¢ | $1,941 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 427d |  one8tyfive | Russia / Ukraine 15+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,511 | +$86 +1.0% | 20 |
| 427d |  curupirAA | Ceasefire 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 427d | one8tyfive | BRICS / NATO 2+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,256 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 427d | 72929292 | Zelensky | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 427d |  Anjun | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 427d |  TeemuPukki | Russia / Ukraine 15+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$26 +2.0% | 20 |
| 427d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Ceasefire 3+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$22 +2.0% | 20 |
| 427d | pantomime | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$46 +4.4% | 20 |
| 427d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Zelensky | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | +$50 +2.7% | 20 |
| 427d | pkz | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,817 | +$180 +4.7% | 20 |
| 427d |  truthteller | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,775 | +$225 +4.7% | 20 |
| 427d | bullrun8 | Russia / Ukraine 15+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 20 |
| 427d |  Dropper | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$51 +4.2% | 20 |
| 427d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,781 | +$131 +4.7% | 20 |
| 427d | sdiff123 | BRICS / NATO 2+ times | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,924 | −$3,924 −100% | 20 |
| 427d | sdiff123 | Biden's war | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,474 | −$2,474 −100% | 20 |
| 427d | sdiff123 | Biden 3+ times | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $2,405 | −$2,405 −100% | 20 |
| 427d | JanGG | Biden 3+ times | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,178 +79% | 20 |
| 427d | danisb | Kyiv | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 427d |  betwick | Zelensky | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$249 +13% | 20 |
| 427d |  Euan | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$45 +4.2% | 20 |
| 428d |  gopfan2 | Russia / Ukraine 15+ times | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 20 |
| 428d |  BuckMySalls | Biden 3+ times | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,781 | −$1,781 −100% | 20 |
| 428d |  TealV | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,913 | +$87 +3.0% | 20 |
| 428d | Dearest-Aide2 fills | Zelensky | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,815 | +$475 +12% | 20 |
| 428d |  Babar1952 | Zelensky | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$188 −15% | — |
| 428d | BuckMySalls | Zelensky | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$189 +12% | 20 |
| 428d | Babar1952 | Zelensky | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$130 +9.5% | 23 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a joint news conference on August 15, following his one-on-one meeting with the President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-trump-discuss-huge-economic-potential-well-ukraine-war-kremlin-says-2025-08-14/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization or possessive forms of the term will count toward the resolution, but other variations will not count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy," but "killjoy" is a compound word formed from "kill" and "joy"). This market applies only to the specified event on August 15 AKDT. Speeches, events, or comments outside of this event will not qualify. If the event includes a Q&A session, it will count toward the resolution. If the event is definitively canceled or not aired by August 16, 2025, 11:59 PM AKDT, the market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the audio/video recording of the listed event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.