Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff / Tax 20+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Farm / Farmer 15+ times | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fertilizer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tractor | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epic Fury | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| EPA / Protection Agency | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chicken | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dairy | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Price 15+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Child | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beef | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deficit | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iowa | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jesus | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corn | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Equipment | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Insane | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| EU / European Union | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal Alien | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Auto / Automobile | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | Deficit | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 203d | Epic Fury | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,925 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 203d | shcc | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,553 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 203d | Tight-Nourishment | Fertilizer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 204d | Women's Sports | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$45 +3.5% | 20 | |
| 204d | lakemichigan | MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 204d | lakemichigan | MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$286 +23% | 20 |
| 204d | Iowa | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 204d | idhjdfo9u23urjp2jt2-wu | -No Qualifying Event- | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for -No Qualifying Event- means the market gives it about 0%.