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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King | 100% | −2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 20+ times | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / DOGE | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 7+ times | 100% | −6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Heritage / Wealth | 100% | +25 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Hell 5+ times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 15+ times | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green New Scam | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Affordable / Affordability 5+ times | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World Cup | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America / American 15+ times | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mental institution | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 30¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 7+ times | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack / Fracking | 100% | +7 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Dell / Stellantis | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kennedy / Autism | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amish / Rancher | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Minnesota / Walz | 100% | −2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crazy / Kamala | 100% | −3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ times | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nvidia / General Motors | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Too Late | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Guard | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Disaster / Catastrophe | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311d |  CosmicCedar2 fills | Heritage / Wealth | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$14 +0.6% | 20 |
| 311d |  noreasapa | Green New Scam | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 311d |  TortugaGorda | Job 20+ times | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$613 +54% | 20 |
| 311d |  Drizzl3r | Hell 5+ times | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,808 | −$2,808 −100% | 20 |
| 312d | BRAHMYILMAZTURK2 fills | King | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $7,484 | −$7,484 −100% | 20 |
| 312d | buduluuu11222 fills | King | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $7,548 | −$7,548 −100% | 20 |
Egalmar40 shares
SeekingRevenge31 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver a talk about the economy in Northeast Pennsylvania on December 9, 2025 (https://x.com/WVIATVFM/status/1996616358092554647). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance in Northeast Pennsylvania on December 9, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for King means the market gives it about 100%.