Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big / Biggest / Bigly 10+ times | 0% | −98 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 7+ times | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax / Tariff 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kennedy / Autism | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Percent 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Affordable / Affordability | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oman / Witkoff | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| U.K. / United Kingdom | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| COVID / Pandemic | 0% | −99 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Please 7+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace Deal / Ceasefire | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drone | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Recorded History | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fat Shot / Ozempic | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TrumpRx 4+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democrat 3+ times | 0% | −97 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin / Warsh | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Donald Trump is set to make an announcement on February 5, 2026 at 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President makes an Announcement" on February 5th at 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Big / Biggest / Bigly 10+ times means the market gives it about 0%.