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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrible / Horrible | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bestseller / Ticket | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 7+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 4+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armada | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FED / Federal Reserve | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Protest | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Walz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ICE / National Guard | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Schumer | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d |  bamesjond | Bestseller / Ticket | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | yougotme | ICE / National Guard | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,371 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily | Bestseller / Ticket | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 260d |  NeoSay10 | Bestseller / Ticket | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,039 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 260d |  probability | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,422 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily | TikTok | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,175 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily2 fills | Shutdown / Shut Down | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,484 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | Threadbare-Signal | Biden 7+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,603 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d |  20to1k | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,336 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 260d | ForFamily | FED / Federal Reserve | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,167 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily2 fills | Terrible / Horrible | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,534 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily | Greenland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,437 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily | Armada | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | ForFamily | Hell 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,246 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 260d |  BlondBeast | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,915 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 260d | BlondBeast | Greenland | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 260d | BlondBeast | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,262 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | NeoSay10 | Terrible / Horrible | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,268 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | 20to1k | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$57 +4.4% | 20 |
JPDegen434 shares
CAPPHILP371 sharesDonald Trump is set to make an announcement on January 29, 2026 at 4:30PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 29, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President makes an Announcement" on January 29th at 4:30PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Terrible / Horrible means the market gives it about 100%.