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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hundred / Thousand 10+ times | 100% | +26 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Moon | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 7+ times | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Never Seen Before | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Military | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World War | 100% | +21 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Golden Dome | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin / Franklin | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epic Fury | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stock Market | 100% | +18 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Happy Birthday America | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mandate | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Booming | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Mount Rushmore | 100% | +56 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hussein | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 14¢ | — | ended |
| Bomb / Bomber | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander / Hamilton | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| New York | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Restaurant | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · 29¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | — | — | — · >99¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104d | anon.1980.123 | Six Seven | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$36 +3.5% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address at the "Tribute to America" Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the "Tribute to America" Independence Day address scheduled for July 4, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for -No Qualifying Event- means the market gives it about 0%.