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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hell 5+ times | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friend of Mine | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear / Iran 4+ times | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Affordability | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark / Norway | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Green New Scam | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mortgage | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NATO | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wife | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| American Dream | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Make Iran Great Again | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maduro / Khamenei | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golden Age of America | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Intel / Nvidia | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Expert / Genius | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Resolve / Hammer | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Globalist / Global | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Woke / DEI | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boeing | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Depreciation | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268d |  bamesjond | Affordability | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Affordability | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,831 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | Each-Bench | Maduro / Khamenei | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Maduro / Khamenei | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Wife | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | yougotme | Golden Age of America | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d |  OptimusBot | Friend of Mine | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,095 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Friend of Mine | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | Odysseus7 | Friend of Mine | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,602 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 269d |  shmozi | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellYes>99¢ | $3,256 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 269d |  aaa6 | Friend of Mine | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 269d | Fredthecat | Friend of Mine | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | −$31 −2.4% | — |
| 269d | aaa6 | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,883 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 269d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Friend of Mine | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 269d |  noreasapa3 fills | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,635 | +$85 +1.1% | 20 |
| 269d | Ajsb | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellYes>99¢ | $2,952 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | Unequaled-WhirlwindNew account | Hell 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 269d | Unequaled-WhirlwindNew account | Expert / Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 269d | Unequaled-WhirlwindNew account | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellYes>99¢ | $5,244 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 269d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | American Dream | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$16 +0.6% | 20 |
| 269d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Friend of Mine | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,474 | +$251 +10% | 20 |
| 269d | Trustinghorse | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 269d | Unequaled-WhirlwindNew account | Friend of Mine | SellYes17¢ → 100¢ | $4,599 | −$22,357 −486% | — |
| 269d |  AgricultureSecretary | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 269d |  BipBop | American Dream | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$408 +37% | 20 |
| 269d | Each-Bench | Depreciation | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 269d | BipBop | Hell 5+ times | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$2,364 +182% | 21 |
| 269d | noreasapa | NATO | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$16 +1.4% | 20 |
| 269d | Lukyyyyyyy | Denmark / Norway | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,887 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 269d | aztfish | Globalist / Global | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 269d | noreasapa | Nuclear / Iran 4+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | +$128 +3.1% | 20 |
| 269d | aztfish | Globalist / Global | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$230 +23% | 20 |
| 269d |  Bertapotamous | Friend of Mine | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $6,031 | −$6,031 −100% | 29 |
| 269d | Unequaled-WhirlwindNew account | Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | SellYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | −$2,624 −223% | — |
| 269d | Pavelevel | Denmark / Norway | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$43 +3.0% | 20 |
| 269d |  UwO | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 20 |
| 270d | Fredthecat | Friend of Mine | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$234 +23% | 25 |
Merlot1,206 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver a special address during the "How can we cooperate in a more contested world?" session of the WEF 2026 at Davos on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled "Special Address by Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America" (https://www.weforum.org/meetings/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2026/sessions/special-address-by-donald-j-trump-president-of-the-united-states-of-america-49a709be7a/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hell 5+ times means the market gives it about 100%.