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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 8+ times | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden 15+ times | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| UFC / Dana White | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| America / American 15+ times | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stupid | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff / Inflation 20+ times | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Davos / World Economic Forum | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egg | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Midterm Election | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China / Russia 15+ times | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stagflation | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Corn | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 401(k) | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Insane asylum | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death tax | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hog | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Susie / Wiles | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bedrock | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | Same-Planula | Stupid | SellNo>99¢ | $1,291 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Foolish-WitchNew account | Tariff / Inflation 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $2,900 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  Bertapotamous | Biden 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,394 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Matschy | Biden 15+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,991 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 262d | ForFamily | Greenland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,559 | +$25 +0.7% | 20 |
| 262d |  Cungly | Kamala | SellYes>99¢ | $2,018 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | yougotme | Hell 8+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 262d |  noreasapa | America / American 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,963 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d |  Do-Not-Redeem | UFC / Dana White | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$53 +4.2% | 20 |
| 262d | 11122 | Kamala | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,527 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d |  DREAMBIG. | UFC / Dana White | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$61 +4.2% | 20 |
| 262d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | America / American 15+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,738 | +$356 +13% | 20 |
| 263d | lgtnb5.3 fills | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $6,272 | +$6,272 +100% | — |
| 263d | lgtnb8.2 fills | Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$4,620 +194% | 23 |
| 263d | 0xDc56EB | Kamala | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 28 |
| 263d | PixelGhost2026 | Kamala | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 28 |
Merlot1,977 shares
Demokrat161 shares
JPDegen147 sharesDonald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times means the market gives it about 0%.