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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Six Seven | 100% | +93 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mentally Ill | 0% | −12 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Central Casting | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut | 0% | −9 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Television / TV | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Football | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World Peace | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Minnesota | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Migrant Crime | 0% | −4 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Midterm Election | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | 0% | −13 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Antifa | 0% | −10 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cookie | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No No No | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Store | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wall Street | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| San Antonio | 0% | −10 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cocaine / Kingpin | 0% | −9 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eisenhower | 0% | −4 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dog / Doggy | 0% | −12 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Massie | 0% | −10 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | qwe258 | Midterm Election | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,631 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | Romania | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,567 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | Eisenhower | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,644 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | chocolate123 | San Antonio | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,658 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | chocolate123 | Migrant Crime | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | chocolate123 | Mentally Ill | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,029 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | lgtnb24.5 fills | Mentally Ill | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $16,198 | −$7,094 −44% | — |
| 260d | lgtnb24.5 fills | Mentally Ill | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $16,526 | +$6,766 +41% | 25 |
| 260d | lgtnb143 fills | Peanut | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $8,821 | −$5,964 −68% | — |
| 260d | lgtnb143 fills | Peanut | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $8,351 | +$6,034 +72% | 25 |
| 260d | lgtnb14 | Peanut | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,935 | +$1,935 +100% | — |
| 260d | lgtnb14 | Peanut | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 26 |
| 260d | lgtnb142 fills | Nobel / Peace Prize | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$1,348 +37% | 25 |
| 260d | Threadbare-Signal | Six Seven | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,215 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d |  bamesjond | Six Seven | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,547 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d |  NeoSay10 | Store | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 260d |  probability | Six Seven | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,628 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 261d | Threadbare-Signal | World Peace | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 261d | NeoSay10 | World Peace | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,373 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 261d | Threadbare-Signal | Central Casting | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 262d | bamesjond2 fills | Football | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,770 | +$23 +0.2% | 20 |
| 262d | bamesjond | Cookie | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,483 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | bamesjond | Television / TV | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,144 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d |  DREAMBIG. | No No No | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,520 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Threadbare-Signal | No No No | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d |  Bertapotamous | MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,346 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Ordon | Minnesota | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,417 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | SweetChariot | Minnesota | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,778 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d |  bernardbulletin2 fills | Migrant Crime | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | +$849 +31% | 22 |
| 265d |  ohinok | Central Casting | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,559 | +$1,559 +100% | — |
| 265d | ohinok | Central Casting | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $3,498 | −$3,498 −100% | 21 |
| 266d |  OMGhost | Romania | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$140 +11% | 20 |
| 266d |  MilitaryChoper | MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$368 +12% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Six Seven means the market gives it about 100%.